Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.028949 0.031165 0.033387 0.035778 0.038275 0.040804 0.043553
2025-11-02 0.024839 0.028326 0.031945 0.035967 0.040297 0.044806 0.049840
2025-11-09 0.022187 0.026389 0.030860 0.035940 0.041522 0.047442 0.054167
2025-11-16 0.020125 0.024835 0.029954 0.035881 0.042505 0.049634 0.057842
2025-11-23 0.018340 0.023419 0.029048 0.035677 0.043197 0.051394 0.060940
2025-11-30 0.016889 0.022267 0.028337 0.035593 0.043934 0.053129 0.063945
2025-12-07 0.015349 0.020904 0.027291 0.035041 0.044065 0.054121 0.066060
2025-12-14 0.013929 0.019598 0.026232 0.034402 0.044031 0.054872 0.067855
2025-12-21 0.012577 0.018293 0.025107 0.033620 0.043774 0.055319 0.069262
2025-12-28 0.012114 0.018062 0.025249 0.034323 0.045239 0.057738 0.072921
2026-01-04 0.011397 0.017469 0.024913 0.034421 0.045965 0.059280 0.075556
2026-01-11 0.010642 0.016784 0.024431 0.034309 0.046415 0.060481 0.077779
2026-01-18 0.010228 0.016564 0.024565 0.035009 0.047915 0.063008 0.081670
2026-01-25 0.009578 0.016007 0.024259 0.035163 0.048764 0.064789 0.084722
2026-02-01 0.008911 0.015385 0.023835 0.035138 0.049370 0.066260 0.087394
2026-02-08 0.008284 0.014782 0.023406 0.035080 0.049914 0.067642 0.089950
2026-02-15 0.007652 0.014133 0.022886 0.034880 0.050260 0.068768 0.092190
2026-02-22 0.007112 0.013585 0.022474 0.034796 0.050735 0.070040 0.094596
2026-03-01 0.006452 0.012818 0.021732 0.034253 0.050604 0.070552 0.096071
2026-03-08 0.005814 0.012045 0.020948 0.033623 0.050338 0.070879 0.097306
2026-03-15 0.005183 0.011239 0.020083 0.032852 0.049865 0.070928 0.098183
2026-03-22 0.005035 0.011196 0.020299 0.033544 0.051287 0.073338 0.101960
2026-03-29 0.004724 0.010867 0.020088 0.033641 0.051924 0.074763 0.104524